India is climbing up in MSCI

October 18, 2024 3 min read

The MSCI World Index is used to track the performance of stocks across various countries. Its goal is to represent the global marketplace and give investors a sense of how different countries contribute to the overall stock market. However, one of the most striking things about the MSCI World Index is how heavily it is dominated by the United States.

Source : Charlie Bilello

The US Dominance in the MSCI World Index

Currently, the United States holds a weight of 63% in the MSCI World Index. This means that more than half of the global stock market, according to the index, is represented by the US. However, when you look at the US economy from a different perspective, such as GDP, the country holds only about 22% to 25% of the global share. This creates an interesting situation where the US is disproportionately represented in the stock market compared to its actual contribution to the world’s economic output.

The Impact of US Performance on Global Markets

Given that the US has such a large influence on the MSCI World Index, any downturn in the US stock market can significantly affect the global index. If the US market were to experience a major drop, it would pull down the entire index due to its overwhelming weight. This highlights how closely global markets are tied to the performance of the US, and how other countries may not be getting as much attention in the index despite their economic growth.

A Parallel to India’s Nifty Index

The dominance of the US in the MSCI World Index can be compared to how certain stocks dominate India’s Nifty Index. In India, a few large companies like HDFC and Reliance hold a significant portion of the Nifty, influencing its movement. If these key companies perform well, the Nifty rises, and if they struggle, the index can drop. This kind of concentration in a few stocks is similar to how the US drives the MSCI World Index. More balanced weighting across different countries or stocks could potentially lead to better and more diverse outcomes in both cases.

India’s Rising Presence in the MSCI World Index

One of the positive developments for India is that it has overtaken China in terms of its weight in the MSCI World Index. India now holds a 2.35% share, while China is slightly behind at 2.24%. This is an important milestone for the Indian market, as it reflects the country’s growing influence in the global economy. However, this change is subject to fluctuations, and China could regain its position as the second-largest contributor in the near future. Nonetheless, India’s steady growth in the index is a positive sign for its stock market.

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    India is climbing up in MSCI