Is Retail Gambling Hard in the Markets ?

January 8, 2025 3 min read

The Growing Attraction of Retail Investors Towards SME IPOs

Retail investors in India are increasingly flocking to SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) IPOs, lured by the promise of quick and significant returns. While this trend has gained momentum over the past few years, it also brings risks and challenges that investors need to carefully consider before committing their hard-earned money.

Source : Mint

The Surge in IPO Investments

The amount of money invested in IPOs has seen a dramatic rise:

₹12,000 crores in 2019

₹26,000 crores in 2020

₹1,22,000 crores in 2021

₹1,41,000 crores in 2024 (data up to November 26, 2024)

This growth highlights the increasing interest in IPOs, particularly among retail investors. SME IPOs, in particular, have gained traction, accounting for 59% of oversubscribed IPOs in 2024. This suggests a strong retail appetite for SME stocks, often perceived as high-return opportunities.

The Lure of Quick Gains

The appeal of SME IPOs lies in the potential for quick profits. Many investors hope to buy shares at the IPO price and sell them immediately after listing at a premium, with gains often ranging from 20% to 50%. This “flipping” strategy has created a perception that IPOs are an easy way to earn money quickly. However, this approach comes with significant risks, as not all IPOs deliver strong post-listing performance.

Source : Mint

The Risks of SME IPOs

High Volatility: SME stocks are often more volatile, and their prices can swing dramatically after listing, leading to potential losses.

Questionable Quality: As the volume of SME IPOs increases, the quality of companies seeking public funding has declined. Cases of poorly managed or fraudulent companies listing on the SME board have been reported, raising concerns about investor safety.

Herd Mentality: Many investors are drawn to IPOs simply because they are popular, without thoroughly analyzing the fundamentals of the company. This speculative behavior can lead to overvaluation and eventual losses.

Source : Mint

Long-Term Investing Versus Speculation

While IPOs can occasionally deliver substantial short-term gains, seasoned investors often prefer gradual compounding through the secondary market. A diversified portfolio with 12-16% annual returns over the long term can create substantial wealth without the speculative risks associated with IPOs. The idea of chasing quick gains through IPOs, especially in the SME segment, often overlooks the value of consistency and patience in investing.

Concerns About Fraud and Oversubscription

The speculative frenzy surrounding SME IPOs has led to instances of fraud. For example, some companies with no real business activity or assets have managed to raise large sums of money during their IPOs. These cases highlight the importance of due diligence and caution when investing in lesser-known companies.

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      Is Retail Gambling Hard in the Markets ?