The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.
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Nifty on the Daily Chart
Nifty spent the week drifting lower, ending about 0.89% down. That little slide matters mainly because it came so soon after we’d poked our head above 26,000 and started entertaining the idea of a fresh all-time high. Instead of following through, the last five–six sessions have been a steady grind down. It doesn’t look like panic selling, more like cooling off after a quick attempt higher. So the rally didn’t fail dramatically, it just stalled.
Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective
On the weekly chart this looks even cleaner. We had come very close to the earlier high, couldn’t push past it, and the index has just pulled back to retest the breakout/trendline zone. That’s actually a normal, even healthy, behavior if the broader trend is still up. As of now, that’s the camp I’d lean toward: a small cool-off, a retest, and then—if global cues don’t worsen—a fresh attempt higher. For the moment, the damage is limited to that 0.89% dip.
S&P 500 Overview
The U.S. picture was a bit softer. The S&P 500 fell 1.63% for the week, and the chatter there has shifted to “has AI topped?” or at least “is AI a bit frothy?” Add to that some talk—later walked back—about OpenAI and intervention, plus a sharp drop in semiconductor and chip names, and you get a mini sentiment setback for the “AI + chips” corner of the market. Nothing broken yet, but that’s the pocket that corrected most.
GOLD Overview
Gold, by contrast, was basically parked. It slipped a token 0.13% and is sitting near ₹12,082 per gram.
Dollar Index Overview
Dollar index has also been inching higher in recent weeks. This week it printed more of a spinning-top type candle, up just 0.16%. That tells you it’s at a point of indecision. If it starts breaking below the lows of the past 1–2 weeks, we could see the dollar resume its downward leg, which would in turn be supportive for emerging markets and for rupee-gold.
Global Indices Overview
Brazil absolutely stole the show with a 4% weekly gain, and Hang Seng managed a decent 1.2%. Pretty much everything else was red. Nikkei was hit hardest at –3.8%, Nasdaq was down about –3%, and India was only mildly negative, nothing like the damage in Japan or U.S. tech. Over the last month, Brazil has been the star at ~8.9%, with Nikkei around 4.3%, while the rest are, frankly, forgettable. Stretch that lens to 12 months and you suddenly see India near the bottom—Nifty just about positive, Nifty 500 slightly negative—while Germany, Japan, Euro Stoxx, Hang Seng, and yes, Brazil, have all done much better.
But when you zoom out to five years, India is right back in the pack: roughly in line with Germany, Nasdaq, and Canada. That tells you two things: (1) a lot of markets have been lifted by abundant global liquidity, not just India, and (2) India’s “high growth must mean high outperformance” narrative doesn’t always show up if you pick the wrong time slice. Everyone’s been swimming in the same liquidity pool—only Hang Seng has really missed the party over five years.
Global Momentum
When we look at the global momentum table, Brazil sits right on top, followed by Nikkei, Hang Seng, Nasdaq, FTSE, then Dow. India has actually climbed out of the basement in the very short term and now sits somewhere in the third quadrant—not top tier, but no longer the laggard. That’s at least a directional improvement.
Benchmark Indices Overview
Benchmark indices showed a broad but not catastrophic softening. Small caps lost the most at about –1.7%. Nifty was –0.89%, Nifty 500 at –0.8%, Nifty Next 50 at –0.6%, and midcaps were basically flat at –0.09%. Over three months, we’re still up 3–4%. Over six months, most indices are up 4–10%. Over one year, it’s a mixed bag: Nifty +5% but small caps –5%. So we’re in that phase where headline levels look okay, but performance dispersion underneath is quite wide.
Sectoral Overview
Capital-market stocks were the clear winners at +2.2%. PSU banks followed at +2.1%, boosted by talk of possible large PSU bank mergers. On the other side, some profit-taking hit public-sector enterprise names, CPSEs, tourism, defense, and infra—these were the ones that gave up some ground, while the rest were fairly muted.
And on the sectoral momentum sheet, the pecking order is very clear: PSU banks and capital markets are leading; then come oil & gas, metals, autos, and real estate—all sitting in the upper band. At the bottom, you see the usual repeat offenders: media, tourism, IT, FMCG, CPSE/energy—and the important bit is they’re not just weak this week; many of these have been weak across multiple time frames (1 week, 1 month, 3 months, 6 months, even 1 year). That’s what real, persistent underperformance looks like.
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Introducing All Seasons
Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
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Rebalance Update
We give advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday. This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday’s update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you
Note: We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.
