The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.
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Nifty on the Daily Chart
The week was packed with surprises, both political and market-driven. The most unexpected development came from Bihar, where the NDA government scored a decisive and unexpected victory. Even seasoned political experts hadn’t forecast such a landslide, and the result injected a fresh wave of confidence into the markets. Political stability — especially when it extends across key states — has a direct correlation with investor sentiment, as it reinforces policy continuity and economic predictability. While markets had partially priced in a favorable outcome, the scale of this win was a genuine surprise. It serves as a reminder that markets, like politics, are driven more by outcomes than projections — and no matter how sophisticated our predictions are, uncertainty remains the only constant. This week’s events subtly underscored the timeless truth that following the trend is often wiser than trying to outguess randomness.
Across the globe, the U.S. markets appeared uneasy. “The Big Short” legend, Michael Burry, made headlines again — this time shorting major AI stocks, including large positions against the mega-cap “Magnificent Seven.” His decision to return external capital and take his fund private spooked global investors, prompting fresh questions about stretched tech valuations. Nvidia’s market cap, now hovering around $5 trillion, is almost equal to India’s entire market capitalization — a staggering comparison that captures both the dominance and potential fragility of the AI trade. Meanwhile, Bitcoin crashed from $125,000 to around $95,000, extending the tremors from digital assets to risk sentiment more broadly. When such corrections hit one corner of the global asset universe, investors instinctively move to preserve capital — often trimming exposure elsewhere. Short-term pain in one asset class, however, frequently seeds opportunity in another. As money exits overheated assets, it eventually seeks relative safety and better valuations elsewhere — potentially flowing toward emerging markets like India.
For now, India remains resilient. Despite global jitters and lingering tariff concerns over the last quarter, domestic markets have not cracked under pressure. Earnings season has passed without major shocks, and the fundamental tone remains constructive. Over time, as capital rotates out of expensive U.S. and crypto assets, India and other emerging markets could be key beneficiaries. The near-term, though, depends on global stability — any easing of fear, coupled with the absence of fresh bad news, could trigger another strong leg higher in Indian equities.
On the daily chart, the Nifty looks strong and well-supported. Prices remain comfortably above both the 20-DMA and 100-DMA — a healthy technical alignment suggesting the uptrend is intact. The index sits only a stone’s throw from its all-time high, signaling strength beneath the surface.
Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective
The weekly chart tells an equally encouraging story. After a breakout four weeks ago, Nifty rallied, pulled back to retest the breakout trendline, and has since bounced higher again — a textbook continuation pattern. As long as the recent swing low holds, the path of least resistance remains upward. The week’s 1.64% gain adds weight to the bullish setup, with higher highs and higher lows continuing to define the structure.
S&P 500 Overview
Over in the U.S., the S&P 500 has been remarkably stable despite the turbulence in individual names. It eked out a marginal 0.08% gain for the week. Giants like Nvidia, Tesla, and Palantir may have stumbled, but the broader market’s resilience reflects the strength of institutional rotation — capital shifting rather than fleeing.
GOLD Overview
Gold delivered another strong performance, rising 2% this week. It was trading higher mid-week before easing slightly into the weekend, ending near ₹12,333 per gram. Gold continues to serve as a quiet hedge against global uncertainty, especially amid rising concerns around the sustainability of tech valuations and the potential for capital rotation.
Dollar Index Overview
The Dollar Index finally showed early signs of fatigue, slipping 0.28%. While not yet in a confirmed downtrend, any sustained fall could unleash a meaningful tailwind for emerging-market equities, precious metals, and other risk-on assets. The broader setup suggests the dollar’s dominance may be peaking, even if the turn takes time.
Global Indices Overview
Our Global Indices Overview (in USD terms) — a rare composite dataset — showed India near the top this week: Nifty +1.6%, Nifty 500 +1.3%. The global standout, however, was Brazil (+3%), followed by France’s CAC 40 (+2.9%) and Euro Stoxx 50 (+2.2%). Canada also performed well, up 1.8%. On the downside, Russell 2000 (-1.5%), Australia, and Nasdaq slipped. Over longer horizons, Brazil and Japan have been the consistent outperformers.
Interestingly, while India’s near-term returns are moderate, over five years the Nifty 500 ranks among the world’s best performers in dollar terms — evidence that India’s gains often come in lumpy, concentrated bursts rather than smooth, linear progress. It’s a market that pauses and then surges.
Global Momentum
On the Global Momentum Scoreboard, Brazil leads, followed by Japan, Hang Seng, Canada, and Europe. Nasdaq and the Dow sit mid-pack, while India has climbed slightly — now in the lower-middle quadrant, signaling gradual recovery.
Benchmark Indices Overview
Back home, the benchmark indices closed the week higher: Nifty +1.6%, Midcap +1.3%, Nifty 500 +1.3%, Nifty Next 50 +0.6%, and Smallcaps +0.3%. The broader participation is encouraging, showing that strength isn’t restricted to large caps alone.
Sectoral Overview
In the sectoral landscape, defense stocks were the stars, up 4.1%, aided by both strong order flows and expectations of fresh announcements in the upcoming Union Budget. IT (+3.4%), pharma (+2.9%), and infra (+2.4%) followed suit. The defensive sectors are regaining strength after a quiet phase.
The sectoral momentum rankings reinforce this: Defense tops the list, followed by PSU banks, capital markets, autos, and oil & gas. PSU banks, despite some weekly softness, remain in focus amid buzz about major restructuring and consolidation plans possibly unveiled during the budget. Capital markets revived sharply after Groww’s IPO listing success and confirmation that weekly F&O expiries are here to stay, with SEBI exploring more nuanced reforms instead of bans. At the weaker end, media, FMCG, tourism, and public-sector enterprises continue to underperform, though IT, pharma, and infra are showing early signs of bottoming out and recovery momentum in the near term.
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Introducing All Seasons
Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
Even index investors — owning India’s top 50 companies through the Nifty 50 — struggle to stay the course. Drawdowns hurt, flat markets drain conviction, and emotions often break compounding faster than crashes do.
That’s exactly why we built All Seasons — a simple, rule-based strategy that helps you stay invested through every phase of the market by dynamically balancing between Nifty 50 (for growth) and Gold (for stability).
📈 Growth — Nifty 50
Own India’s strongest 50 companies — the backbone of our economy. Participate in the nation’s long-term growth story without picking stocks or timing entries.
🛡️ Stability — Gold
Crises strike without warning. Gold rises when equities stumble — acting as your portfolio’s natural hedge and emotional anchor.
⚙️ The Engine Behind It
All Seasons shifts allocations every fortnight based on market conditions:
- When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
- When they’re beaten down, the system increases weight.
- Gold moves in the opposite direction — balancing every phase.
No guesswork. No emotion. No fear of missing out — just a calm, intelligent portfolio that adapts to markets for you.
Who is this for?
✅ Index investors who want smoother participation
✅ New investors who prefer ETFs over stock-picking
✅ Professionals who can’t invest in direct equities
✅ Seasoned investors looking to add stability to their core
✅ Anyone who wants to stay in control without daily decisions
Price: ₹4,999 per year
Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh
Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD
Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:
25% Large Caps – for stability
25% Mid Caps – for growth
25% Small Caps – for alpha
25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge
Mi AllCap GOLD follows a rules-based, momentum-driven approach to select the strongest stocks in each segment. The portfolio is rebalanced monthly to ensure it stays aligned with market leadership — with no human discretion involved.
Why Mi AllCap GOLD?
All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational
Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.
Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.
Rebalance Update
We give advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday. This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday’s update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you
Note: We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.
