Gold Is Heating Up Again: Is a Big Rally About to Begin?

August 20, 2026 2 min read

What Is Happening in GLD?

GLD is one of the world’s largest gold ETFs. Many investors watch the money moving in and out of GLD to understand what is happening in the gold market. This can give clues about whether gold is starting a new move higher or whether too many buyers have already entered the market.

Source : Kobeissi Letter on X

Retail Money Went Quiet

Since February and March, money flows into GLD have been very weak. There was not much new money coming in, while only a few periods of money leaving the ETF were seen after March.

Source : Kobeissi Letter on X

This showed that retail interest in gold had cooled down for some time. But the picture has now started to change.

Money Is Coming Back

There is now a strong flow of money into GLD. This is important because past data shows that a sudden rise in inflows has often come with a strong move in gold prices. When buying grows from a recent average, gold has often moved higher soon after. This does not mean the same thing must happen again, but it gives a positive signal for the gold market.

No Sign of Full Euphoria Yet

The market has seen periods in the past when buying became extremely high. These strong buying points often came near short-term tops in gold. In simple terms, when everyone starts buying gold at the same time, the market can become too crowded. Right now, the buying is rising, but it does not yet look like those extreme levels of euphoria.

Gold Could Test Its Previous Highs

The current setup looks supportive for gold. The rise in money flowing into GLD suggests that buyers are becoming more active again. While there is no guarantee, gold could move higher and retest its previous highs. If buying remains strong, it could even move above those levels.

September and October Could Be Important

Seasonal demand for gold is also worth watching. September and October are often strong months for global gold demand. When this seasonal trend is combined with the fresh money coming into GLD, the current setup looks interesting. For investors and traders watching gold, this could be a period worth keeping a close eye on.

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    Gold Is Heating Up Again: Is a Big Rally About to Begin?