How Much Does China Need the U.S.?

November 6, 2025 3 min read

The Big Picture of China’s Exports

Many people think China depends a lot on selling its products to the United States. But when we look closely at the trade numbers, the true story is different. China sends a huge amount of goods all over the globe. The total value of China’s exports to all countries, except for the US, is about $3,000 billion, or three trillion dollars.

Source : BofA Global Research / Ritesh Jain on X

This huge number shows how important the world market is for Chinese products.

Trade with the United States

Now, let’s look at the numbers for trade with the US market alone. China’s exports to the United States are around $400 to $500 billion each year (see the image above). If you compare this amount to the $3,000 billion that goes to the rest of the world, the US part is quite small. This trade with the US makes up only about 15% of China’s total exports. This simple comparison clearly shows that China is not as reliant on the US market as some people might think.

The Major Change in 2022

For about 25 years, China’s exports to both the US and the rest of the world grew bigger together. This trend suddenly changed around the middle of 2022. Following a major world event where one country’s money was stopped by the US, China started to change its trade approach. It began to ship fewer products to the US. At the same time, it quickly started sending more products to all the other countries in the world.

No Real Loss to China

Because of this strategic change, the amount of trade that China lost with the US market was almost the exact same amount it gained by selling to the rest of the world. The actual total amount of goods that China sold did not go down. China’s overall exports stayed very strong. There is also a possibility that China is first sending products to other nations, like Vietnam or the UAE, and those nations are then sending the goods to the US. This is called rerouting.

A Small Part of China’s Economy

How much does this trade with the US truly matter to China’s total economy (GDP)? China’s exports to the US make up only about 2% of its total GDP. If, for some big reason, this trade had to stop completely, the effect on China’s entire economy would be a small hit that could be managed. The common belief that a country cannot survive without selling to the US seems to be much larger than the actual numbers show.

Understanding World Power

This simple trade data helps us understand world politics better. It shows that the power, or “leverage,” that the US has over other big trading countries might be less than what we often hear. These facts show that countries have more strength to stand on their own than is commonly discussed.

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    How Much Does China Need the U.S.?