The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.
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Nifty on the Daily Chart
The last 24 hours have delivered some deeply unsettling developments globally. As of 12th October, China has effectively locked horns with the United States, triggering a sharp escalation of tension. The U.S. is reportedly considering a 100% tariff on Chinese goods, and in retaliation, China has hinted at cutting off exports of rare earth metals, which are critical to global semiconductor and tech supply chains. On top of that, the crypto market is facing its own shockwave—Bitcoin is crashing amid rumors that Chinese authorities are offloading confiscated Bitcoin holdings into the market. These are not isolated signals. When one part of the global financial structure starts showing cracks—be it crypto, commodities, or equities—it often sets off a domino effect across asset classes.
U.S. markets too saw a sharp fall on Friday, one of the steepest in recent sessions, hinting that stress is building up under the surface. The coming week is likely to be volatile, and leveraged traders need to be extremely cautious. This is a phase where sticking to a disciplined strategy is critical, rather than reacting emotionally to headlines.
On the domestic front, the Nifty’s daily structure was actually looking quite strong before this global turbulence began. Over the last seven sessions, the index climbed steadily from 24,600 to 25,285, delivering a 1.57% weekly gain, which by all standards is a healthy performance. The market showed resilience, buying every dip and refusing to break below its established support zones. The price action suggested that momentum was building for a potential technical breakout.
Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective
On the weekly chart, Nifty now sits right at the cusp of a breakout trendline. If this resistance is breached convincingly, it opens the door for a move toward new highs. However, global sentiment can override technical setups, and if U.S.–China tensions escalate further, this breakout may get delayed. The index is positioned well technically, but macro headlines will likely dictate direction in the immediate term.
S&P 500 Overview
The S&P 500 closed the week down 2.43%, with most of that damage coming in a single session. Still, the U.S. index is far above previous resistance zones, indicating that while there is short-term panic, structurally it has not broken down. Any continuation of fear-driven selling, however, could shift sentiment sharply.
GOLD Overview
Gold once again performed as the ultimate risk-hedge, surging 3.4% this week to ₹12,514 per gram (₹1.25 lakh per 10g)—numbers that would have sounded unbelievable just two years ago. Silver too is inching into a new price regime, now trading around ₹1.6–1.7 lakh per kg, whereas it was ₹60–70k not too long ago. This is not just a price rally—it is a re-rating of hard assets.
With $350 trillion worth of managed assets globally and only 1.5% in gold, even a shift to 10–20% allocation (as suggested by institutions like Morgan Stanley) would mean tens of trillions of dollars chasing a metal with limited supply. With the total value of all mined gold around $26–27 trillion, the math suggests a severe supply-demand imbalance may emerge, especially if scarcity premium kicks in as it recently did in silver ETFs. Gold’s story is no longer about inflation—it is now about scarcity, monetary distrust, and reserve diversification.
Dollar Index Overview
Even more surprising is that gold rose despite the Dollar Index jumping 1.17% this week. Normally, a rising dollar suppresses gold prices, but this inverse correlation has broken down. It signals a systemic shift in capital allocation psychology, where investors are not buying gold as a trade, but as protection.
Global Indices Overview
In the global indices performance (converted to USD terms for true comparability), Nifty surprisingly outperformed all major indices this week. Nikkei followed with ~1.4%, but Brazil, S&P 500, CAC40, Hang Seng—all ended lower, with Brazil falling the most at -5.7%. India, which had been at the bottom of global performance rankings for months, is showing its first signs of reversal in relative strength.
Global Momentum
In the global momentum table, Nikkei leads, followed by Nasdaq and Hang Seng, while Canada and Nifty are climbing up from the bottom ranks. Just a month ago, Nifty was consistently sitting at rank 14 or 15—now it’s moving closer to mid-table. This early momentum shift is worth tracking closely.
Benchmark Indices Overview
On the Indian front, the benchmark indices showed a uniformly positive week, with midcaps and Nifty50 leading, while small caps and NiftyNext50 stayed flat. Over three months, small caps still show net underperformance, but in the six-month horizon, the broader market is stabilizing.
Sectoral Overview
In the sectoral overview, IT stocks and capital markets staged a comeback. The buzz is that SEBI may soften its stance on weekly expiries, which revived capital market stocks. IT saw a smart rebound, possibly as panic around U.S. policy faded momentarily. These were the only two sectors that showed relative alpha.
The sectoral momentum table ranks PSU banks, capital markets, metals, and private banks at the top—clear outperformance zones for short-term momentum traders. At the bottom of the list are IT (despite its bounce), tourism, FMCG, and media, with real estate starting to show signs of early recovery. Defense, which had been the star of the year, has taken a breather in the very short term, which sometimes becomes a buy-on-dip setup depending on how it behaves in the next two weeks.
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT
We are now live on our official WhatsApp Channel. We have been sharing all our strategy updates, rebalances, and important announcements here. Please watch this video to know more & join in at the earliest possible.
Why this change?
Because it’s simpler, faster, and right where you already are — WhatsApp makes staying updated effortless.
Stay updated with:
Because it’s simpler, faster, and right where you already are — WhatsApp makes staying updated effortless.
Stay updated with:
• Strategy updates & rebalances
• Exclusive announcements & offers
Here’s an instruction manual if you are not aware of Whatsapp Channels
Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD
We’re excited to announce the launch of Mi AllCap GOLD, a new core investment strategy from the House of WeekendInvesting.
This strategy is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:
25% Large Caps – for stability
25% Mid Caps – for growth
25% Small Caps – for alpha
25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge
Mi AllCap GOLD follows a rules-based, momentum-driven approach to select the strongest stocks in each segment. The portfolio is rebalanced monthly to ensure it stays aligned with market leadership — with no human discretion involved.
Why Mi AllCap GOLD?
All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational
Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.
Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.
Rebalance Update
We give advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday. This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday’s update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you
Note: We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.
