The Good Bad and Ugly weekly review : 10 Oct 2026

October 10, 2026 6 min read

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Market conditions showed little change this week, marking the ninth consecutive period of downward movement. The Indian equity market continues to be impacted by persistent headwinds that have troubled performance over the past two months, including elevated crude oil prices, high US bond yields, and ongoing Foreign Institutional Investor outflows.

Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective

A broader look at technical charts shows a steady downtrend since the beginning of August that has gradually grown steeper. The week ending 9th of October was the single exception where prices did not fall sharply, instead forming a doji candle-a pattern where weekly opening and closing prices are virtually identical-and registering a slight gain of 0.4%. The 22,200 level now serves as a critical support mark for the market.

A breakdown below this level could prove disastrous, whereas any potential recovery will face significant overhead resistance near the 24,500 mark before true upward momentum can resume.


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S&P 500 Overview

Global markets presented a mixed picture over the week. The US market maintained its strong trajectory, advancing 1.15% despite high interest rate pressures.

GOLD Overview

Gold prices rebounded with a 1.78% gain after several weak weeks. Remarkably, gold has stabilized rather than experiencing a typical 40% to 50% drop that usually accompanies US yield increases from 0.5% to nearly 5.5%.

Crude Oil, USD/INR & India Vix Overview

Conversely, the USD/INR currency pair hit a record high close of 96.76. Although the Reserve Bank of India announced new measures on Saturday morning to curb currency depreciation, these are likely to trigger only short-term knee-jerk reactions rather than altering the broader trend.

Meanwhile, Brent crude oil futures climbed to $104, with spot prices hitting $140 to $150 due to soaring logistics costs rising from $6 to $27 per barrel. The Dollar Index rose to 102.23, while the India VIX remained largely unchanged at 14.38, reflecting an environment with few immediate positive tailwinds.

Global Indices Overview

In dollar terms across global indices, Nifty traded flat, while Brazil rallied 14% on the back of rising sugar prices. South Korea fell 4%, and most other major global markets ended the week flat.

Global Momentum

On a momentum score basis, Brazil, the US, and Japan lead as the top three performing global markets, while France, India, and the Euro Stoxx index occupy the bottom three positions.

Benchmark Indices Overview

Domestically, benchmark movements saw Nifty rise 1.4%, whereas the Nifty 500 and Smallcap indices ended completely flat. Midcap indices and the Nifty Next 50 both declined by nearly 1%.

Sectoral Overview

Sectorally, capital markets rebounded with a 2.8% weekly gain led by BSE, and FMCG rose 2.5% following a slump sale in ITC alongside strong final-day gains in ITC, Hindustan Unilever, and Colgate-Palmolive. In contrast, commodities dropped 2.3%, while metals and real estate both declined 3.7%. Interest-rate sensitive sectors faced pressure following the RBI’s repo rate hike of a quarter percent, with further rate hikes anticipated in December and February. PSU banks bucked this trend, rising 2.4%.

Momentum rankings place private banking, pharma, and capital markets in the top spots for sectors, while public sector enterprises, commodities, real estate, and central PSEs remain at the bottom four. FMCG, capital markets, and PSU banks are currently experiencing a notable improvement in short-term momentum.

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Rebalance Update

Please note that this is a biannual rebalance incorporating underlying index changes, weights have been reset hence you may see more trades than the changes due to incremental changes in continuing stocks.

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    The Good Bad and Ugly weekly review : 10 Oct 2026