The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.

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Nifty on the Daily Chart

The week saw significant pressure in the mid-cap and small-cap space, even as the headline indices tried to hold their ground. The US Federal Reserve cut rates by a quarter percent, but markets didn’t react immediately. Instead, the response came with a lag, a couple of sessions later, reflecting how sensitive sentiment currently is. Alongside this, there has been renewed chatter around the Indo-US trade deal progressing, strong performance in precious metals, and low inflation signals from the RBI.

On the surface, the setup looks constructive. Structurally, parts of the market — especially large caps — are holding up reasonably well. The Nifty has crossed the 26,000 level 17 times in the last 35 days, and repeated attempts at a resistance often increase the probability of a breakout. At the same time, the pain in small caps and micro caps continues, and that divergence remains the key worry for investors in the near term.

On the Nifty daily chart, the recent move down that started around the 1st of December has largely been retraced. From about 26,200, the index is now hovering near 26,046, suggesting that the market is essentially marking time rather than breaking down. As mentioned earlier, crossing the 26,000 mark repeatedly without follow-through reflects indecision, but also persistence. A weekly loss of about half a percent doesn’t change the bigger picture — it only reinforces the idea that the market is consolidating and perhaps building energy.

Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective

Looking at the weekly chart, Nifty has not yet made a decisive new high, but the candle structure is encouraging. Over the last three weeks, the candles have shown long lower tails, which in candlestick language means that the market repeatedly rejects lower levels. By the end of each week, prices recover, indicating that buyers are stepping in on dips. From a Nifty-specific perspective, this behavior is a positive signal for the medium term.

S&P 500 Overview

The US market, the global mother market, slipped only marginally, down about 0.63% for the week. When you zoom out, the strength is still striking — from the April 2025 lows near 4,800, the S&P 500 has climbed to almost 6,800, a gain of roughly 40–45% with very shallow corrections. This sustained strength explains why global funds remain heavily allocated to US equities and relatively less enthusiastic about emerging markets for now.

GOLD Overview

Gold had an explosive week, rising 3.17% to around ₹13,266 per gram. What many saw as a topping-out move in October has now turned into fresh highs. This reinforces a simple lesson: trying to predict the end of a strong trend is usually a losing game. The only sensible approach is to respect the trend while it lasts and step aside when it weakens. At the moment, gold remains firmly in an uptrend, aided further by the steadily weakening rupee, which keeps pushing INR gold prices higher.

Dollar Index Overview

The Dollar Index has started falling again, now around 98.3, after briefly being above 100. While this supports other global currencies, the irony for Indian investors is that the rupee continues to weaken against the dollar. This creates a double disadvantage — the rupee loses not just against the dollar, but even more sharply against currencies like the euro, yen, pound, and Swiss franc. The RBI doesn’t appear overly aggressive in addressing this yet. On the positive side, a meaningful policy shift has emerged: pension funds are now allowed to invest in gold and silver ETFs. While small in scale, this signals a broader change in thinking — encouraging exposure to hard assets and sound money, something China and Russia embraced much earlier.

Global Indices Overview

In the global indices overview (in dollar terms), Canada gained about 2%, Germany and Australia rose around 1.5%, while Nasdaq fell 1.6%. India was among the weaker performers, with Nifty 50 and Nifty 500 down roughly 1.2–1.3%, placing them near the bottom globally this week. Over the last three months, India has gone nowhere in dollar terms, while Brazil, Japan, and Europe have delivered strong gains. Over twelve months, the contrast is even sharper — Brazil up over 40%, Germany and Europe near 30%, while India remains flat to negative. Until relative performance improves, it’s understandable why global investors remain cautious on Indian equities.

Global Momentum

From a global leadership momentum raking perspective, Canada, US small caps, Brazil, and Japan are leading, with Germany and Australia showing signs of recovery. India, however, continues to sit near the bottom of the global rankings, waiting for its next cycle of outperformance to begin.

Benchmark Indices Overview

In the domestic benchmark indices, the week was uniformly weak. Most indices were down between a quarter and half a percent.

Sectoral Overview

Metals and commodities were the only bright spots, with metals up about 1.9% and commodities up 1.1%. Nearly all other sectors declined — defense fell around 3%, tourism 2.4%, media 1.7%, and PSU banks about 1.6%.

The sectoral momentum heat map shows metals, autos, and private banks still leading on a relative basis. At the bottom are defense, tourism, and media, which continue to struggle. On the positive side, energy, commodities, infrastructure, and oil & gas have begun to show short-term improvement, while PSU banks and IT stocks are losing momentum, at least for now.

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

We are now live on our official WhatsApp Channel. We have been sharing all our strategy updates, rebalances, and important announcements here. Please watch this video to know more & join in at the earliest possible.

Because it’s simpler, faster, and right where you already are — WhatsApp makes staying updated effortless.
Stay updated with:

• Strategy updates & rebalances
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Here’s an instruction manual if you are not aware of Whatsapp Channels

Introducing All Seasons

Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
Even index investors — owning India’s top 50 companies through the Nifty 50 — struggle to stay the course. Drawdowns hurt, flat markets drain conviction, and emotions often break compounding faster than crashes do.

That’s exactly why we built All Seasons — a simple, rule-based strategy that helps you stay invested through every phase of the market by dynamically balancing between Nifty 50 (for growth) and Gold (for stability).

📈 Growth — Nifty 50
Own India’s strongest 50 companies — the backbone of our economy. Participate in the nation’s long-term growth story without picking stocks or timing entries.

🛡️ Stability — Gold
Crises strike without warning. Gold rises when equities stumble — acting as your portfolio’s natural hedge and emotional anchor.

⚙️ The Engine Behind It
All Seasons shifts allocations every fortnight based on market conditions:

• When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
  
• When they’re beaten down, the system increases weight.
  
• Gold moves in the opposite direction — balancing every phase.
  

No guesswork. No emotion. No fear of missing out — just a calm, intelligent portfolio that adapts to markets for you.

Who is this for?
✅ Index investors who want smoother participation
✅ New investors who prefer ETFs over stock-picking
✅ Professionals who can’t invest in direct equities
✅ Seasoned investors looking to add stability to their core
✅ Anyone who wants to stay in control without daily decisions

Price: ₹4,999 per year
Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh

Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD

Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:

25% Large Caps – for stability

25% Mid Caps – for growth

25% Small Caps – for alpha

25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge

Mi AllCap GOLD follows a rules-based, momentum-driven approach to select the strongest stocks in each segment. The portfolio is rebalanced monthly to ensure it stays aligned with market leadership — with no human discretion involved.

Why Mi AllCap GOLD?

All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational

Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.

Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.

Rebalance Update

We give advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday. This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday’s update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you

Note: We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.