The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.
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The geopolitical landscape has grown increasingly complex as international conflicts have intensified, causing noticeable collateral damage in neighboring countries. While market participants initially expected these tensions to subside by June, the prolonged instability continues to exert downward pressure on financial markets.
Beyond the immediate pressure stemming from oil prices, a broader negative sentiment has swept through global markets. This downturn is primarily led by Asian indices in Japan, South Korea, and Hong Kong, and it has extended directly into the United States markets. In particular, artificial intelligence and chip-making stocks have taken a massive beating.
However, this weakness has triggered a notable contra trade. As artificial intelligence stocks began to decline, Indian information technology stocks started to rise. Over time, as the valuation weightage of high-flying technology stocks drops in global benchmarks like the MSCI index, it may naturally lead to an increased investment weightage toward India. Consequently, Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) selling has remained relatively muted.
Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective
In the face of severe global instability and escalating conflict, the Nifty index delivered a resilient outcome by gaining 0.53% over the week. While the index is not yet trading near its historical peaks, it remains strongly positioned at less than 10% away from its all time high.
S&P 500 Overview
In contrast, the S&P 500 dropped by 1.55% this week, continuing to oscillate within a tight range where it has remained trapped for the past seven weeks.
GOLD Overview
Gold did not favor investors this week, dropping by 1.56% to close at 14302. The massive upward rally previously seen in the precious metal is now undergoing a expected price and time correction, with current estimates suggesting a remaining correction of perhaps another 5% to 10% at best.
Crude Oil, USD/INR & India Vix Overview
Meanwhile, the USD-INR exchange rate climbed to 96.27, marking a new weekly all time high as the rupee continues to weaken. Brent crude oil experienced a major surge, jumping from $75 to $88 per barrel. This sharp increase in crude oil served as the primary macroeconomic variable moving against the domestic market this week. Additionally, the India VIX spiked by 7%, while the Dollar Index remained completely unchanged.
Global Indices Overview
Evaluating global indices in dollar terms reveals steep corrections in East Asia, with South Korea and Japan plunging between 6.5% and 7.5%. The Hang Seng, FTSE, S&P, and TSX Canada managed minor gains, while the majority of other global markets recorded minor losses. The Nasdaq lost 2.9%, whereas the Nifty shed 0.7% when calculated strictly in dollar terms.
Global Momentum
In the global indices momentum score, the broader United States market and small-cap equities claimed the top position following a significant derating of large-cap tech stocks in the United States. Canada has moved into the number two spot, followed by the United Kingdom at number three. The Nasdaq has drifted down to the middle of the ranking table, while the Nifty unfortunately sits near the bottom alongside Germany and France. Over the last week and month, the Hang Seng, the United Kingdom, and Canada have staged relative recoveries to climb back up the table.
Benchmark Indices Overview
While the Nifty managed a minor gain, most other domestic indices slid between 0% and 1%, ensuring that no catastrophic structural damage occurred.
Sectoral Overview
Information technology stocks stood out as the lone star gainers of the week, rallying by 4.3%. Despite this short term bounce, the IT sector remains the worst performer on a year-to-date basis at minus 21.3%. Capital market stocks slid 2.8% over the past month, though they maintain a positive return of 15.9% over the last full year. Real estate, metals, and tourism also witnessed significant downward moves this week, leaving information technology, media, and private banks as the primary positive movers.
The current market is highly range-bound, with defensive and cyclical sectors like pharmaceuticals, private banks, media, and automotive stocks taking up the top four sectoral spots. Most long trade setups are currently concentrating within these clusters.
Conversely, the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG) sector remains languishing at the bottom of the table. This is a concerning signal for the broader economy, as healthy FMCG performance is typically required to validate strong economic health. The sector needs to stage a definitive rally to signal that all is well in the underlying economy. Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) banks, central Public Sector Enterprises (PSEs), and information technology also sit at the lower end of the long-term distribution.
Introducing All Seasons
Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
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That’s exactly why we built All Seasons — a simple, rule-based strategy that helps you stay invested through every phase of the market by dynamically balancing between Nifty 50 (for growth) and Gold (for stability).
📈 Growth — Nifty 50
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🛡️ Stability — Gold
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⚙️ The Engine Behind It
All Seasons shifts allocations every fortnight based on market conditions:
- When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
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- Gold moves in the opposite direction — balancing every phase.
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Who is this for?
✅ Index investors who want smoother participation
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Price: ₹4,999 per year
Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh
Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD
Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:
25% Large Caps – for stability
25% Mid Caps – for growth
25% Small Caps – for alpha
25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge
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Why Mi AllCap GOLD?
All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational
Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.
Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.
Rebalance Update
