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Nifty on the Daily Chart

It has been a great week on multiple fronts. The first major positive development has been the visible thawing of Indo–US relations. The rhetoric around tariffs seems to have cooled, and the market is sensing that the worst of the tariff war may already be behind us. There is growing expectation that announcements easing trade tensions could be around the corner. The market, as always, is forward-looking, and it is already pricing in improved diplomatic tone and potential tariff rollbacks.

Alongside this, portfolios that had meaningful allocation to precious metals delivered standout performance, as gold and silver continued their historic surge. This is no longer just a price trend—it is part of a larger monetary phenomenon where confidence in fiat currency is visibly eroding and physical metal shortages are driving irrational price behavior. Adding to the upbeat sentiment, the result season has begun, and as of 18th October, reliance results look strong and may support market sentiment further as we step into the next trading week.

On the daily chart, the momentum is clear. The last three sessions alone have added nearly 500 points to the Nifty, resulting in a 1.68% gain for the week. This is not a random bounce—the price action shows a deliberate attempt to break past the high established back in July, indicating that buyers are willing to step in aggressively at higher levels and are no longer waiting for deep corrections to accumulate.

Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective

Zooming out to the weekly chart, the structure looks even stronger. The trendline resistance has been breached, and with a 1.68% weekly gain, Nifty now sits just a short distance from its all-time high. Many market participants are skeptical and believe there is limited upside from here, but the structural setup suggests otherwise. The market has digested a 13–14 month consolidation phase since September of last year, and historically, such consolidations are often the launchpad for multi-thousand point rallies. Whether or not this plays out immediately remains to be seen, but from a structural setup perspective, the stage is set.

S&P 500 Overview

The S&P 500 also gained 1.7% this week, recovering sharply from last week’s steep decline. Global risk sentiment, which had deteriorated on the back of the US–China tensions, seems to have stabilized. With geopolitical aggression toning down and no fresh tariff shock emerging, global equities found room to breathe again.

GOLD Overview

Meanwhile, gold surged another 4.89% this week, putting it into what can only be described as a parabolic phase. At ₹1,27,437 per 10 grams, the metal has risen from around ₹75,000 at the beginning of this calendar year. A 70% gain in nine months is not just a rally—it is a signal. It is telling us that fiat currencies are quietly losing credibility and real assets are being re-rated. The silent inflation hidden behind rising asset prices is becoming obvious, and the market is rewarding those positioned in tangible stores of value.

Dollar Index Overview

Dollar Index remains stagnant around 98.5, refusing to break down. A decisive move lower in the dollar could act as a tailwind for both emerging markets and commodities, and that remains a key macro trigger to track.

Global Indices Overview

In the global indices leaderboard (converted into USD terms), Europe led with a 4.1% gain, while Hang Seng fell sharply by -3.8%. Euro Stoxx 50 gained 2.2%, while Nifty and Nifty 500 delivered 2.7% and 2.2% respectively in USD terms. Nasdaq and Russell also stayed positive while FTSE remained flat and Nikkei showed modest strength at just 0.6%. On a one-year basis, however, Nifty still shows a negative return in dollar terms, while Germany leads the global pack with a 30.5% return, followed by Nasdaq and Nikkei.

Global Momentum

Looking at the Global Momentum Score, India is still not a leadership market on a global relative strength basis, but it has climbed a few notches up from the absolute bottom, where it sat for months. Nasdaq, Nikkei and European indices are currently leading, but Nifty’s momentum reversal is notable and should be monitored closely.

Benchmark Indices Overview

Benchmark indices show a clear concentration of gains in large caps, particularly Nifty-50 names. Midcaps and small caps were largely flat, which shows that institutional flows are favoring high liquidity counters, likely driven by foreign positioning shifting back into frontline names.

Sectoral Overview

Sector-wise, real estate led with a strong 4% rally, followed by capital market stocks which bounced back on news that SEBI may not go ahead with banning weekly expiries. FMCG showed renewed strength following optimistic Nestle earnings, easing fears around demand slowdown. Financial services and consumption-oriented stocks gained, while IT (-1.9%) and media (-2.7%) lagged behind, showing that rotation is still very much active.

In the sectoral momentum scorecard, capital markets, financial services and consumption themes occupy the top ranks, while autos are showing signs of cooling off after a strong stretch. PSU banks and metals have dropped in ranking, while real estate and FMCG are climbing rapidly. Meanwhile, IT, pharma and energy continue to underperform, sitting consistently in the bottom quartile.

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

We are now live on our official WhatsApp Channel. We have been sharing all our strategy updates, rebalances, and important announcements here. Please watch this video to know more & join in at the earliest possible.

Why this change?

Because it’s simpler, faster, and right where you already are — WhatsApp makes staying updated effortless.
Stay updated with:

Because it’s simpler, faster, and right where you already are — WhatsApp makes staying updated effortless.
Stay updated with:

• Strategy updates & rebalances
• Exclusive announcements & offers

Here’s an instruction manual if you are not aware of Whatsapp Channels

Introducing All Seasons

Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
Even index investors — owning India’s top 50 companies through the Nifty 50 — struggle to stay the course. Drawdowns hurt, flat markets drain conviction, and emotions often break compounding faster than crashes do.

That’s exactly why we built All Seasons — a simple, rule-based strategy that helps you stay invested through every phase of the market by dynamically balancing between Nifty 50 (for growth) and Gold (for stability).

📈 Growth — Nifty 50
Own India’s strongest 50 companies — the backbone of our economy. Participate in the nation’s long-term growth story without picking stocks or timing entries.

🛡️ Stability — Gold
Crises strike without warning. Gold rises when equities stumble — acting as your portfolio’s natural hedge and emotional anchor.

⚙️ The Engine Behind It
All Seasons shifts allocations every fortnight based on market conditions:

• When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
  
• When they’re beaten down, the system increases weight.
  
• Gold moves in the opposite direction — balancing every phase.
  

No guesswork. No emotion. No fear of missing out — just a calm, intelligent portfolio that adapts to markets for you.

Who is this for?
✅ Index investors who want smoother participation
✅ New investors who prefer ETFs over stock-picking
✅ Professionals who can’t invest in direct equities
✅ Seasoned investors looking to add stability to their core
✅ Anyone who wants to stay in control without daily decisions

Price: ₹4,999 per year
Launch Offer: Get 40% OFF for life (valid for renewals too!)
Code: SEASON40
Offer valid till: 12th Oct 2025 (Sunday)Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh

Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD

Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:

25% Large Caps – for stability

25% Mid Caps – for growth

25% Small Caps – for alpha

25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge

Mi AllCap GOLD follows a rules-based, momentum-driven approach to select the strongest stocks in each segment. The portfolio is rebalanced monthly to ensure it stays aligned with market leadership — with no human discretion involved.

Why Mi AllCap GOLD?

All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational

Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.

Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.

Rebalance Update

We give advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday. This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday’s update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you

Note: We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.