The Good Bad and Ugly weekly review : 22 May 2026

May 23, 2026 7 min read

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On the global front, there is no major change in the war situation, and oil prices remain at an elevated level. While both sides are discussing reconciliation, nothing concrete has precipitated yet. Rumors are circulating that some kind of a toll will be put on the Strait of Hormuz, which would be shared by Iran and Oman.

Meanwhile, the United States is seeking a ramp-off that allows them to claim victory or at least walk away with their heads held high to their public, but that is not currently happening. The ongoing problem is that these parties may just remain engaged in conflict while the rest of the world waits for official word. Until that official resolution occurs, shipping companies will remain hesitant to traverse the area, insurance companies will be equally hesitant, and the situation will continue to be a mess.

Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective

The Nifty went up 0.32% this week, and looking at the last five weeks, the index really has not gone anywhere, hovering near the 23700 to 24000 mark as the market waits for clarity on the war front.

S&P 500 Overview

In contrast, the S&P 500 in the US has been up for almost eight weeks, moving nonstop from 6200 to almost 7400. There is no stopping the S&P 500 stocks, and pretty much all funds are moving toward the US markets. A lot of investors are basically giving up on the India market, but as experience shows, once people give up on India, that is exactly when the markets tend to start moving.

GOLD Overview

While the S&P gained 0.88%, gold lost 0.95% this week. There has been pressure on the gold market since India announced curbs on gold demand, impacting both Indian and international gold prices.

Additionally, the USDINR softened a bit in the last two days following the Reserve Bank of India’s talk about raising interest rates, which also caused gold in INR terms to go down a bit, leading to that 0.95% drop.

USDINR Overview

On the macroeconomic front, the USDINR experienced a 0.3% move over the last week after the adjustments of the final two days, while Brent crude fell 4.8%. The VIX also dropped 5.1%, while the dollar index rose 0.1%. All in all, it looks like things are sobering down with both the VIX and Brent moving lower, raising hopes that next week may bring some closure on this front.

Global Indices Overview

Looking at the global indices overview, a specialized normalized chart compares all major global indices with each other in dollar terms. This specific chart is not available anywhere else in the world. According to this data, the DAX was the best performer this week with a 3.4% gain, followed by the Kospi and Euro Stoxx. India remained very flat, marking changes of 0.3% and 0.5%. Meanwhile, Brazil and the Hang Seng lost some ground this week.

Global Momentum

In terms of the global indices momentum score, South Korea, Japan, and the US have been ruling the top three positions for a while. On the other hand, France, China, and India have been languishing at the bottom for a few weeks, showing no change on this front. Germany and the UK are suddenly climbing up according to the latest momentum scores, while the Chinese markets are not doing as well as they were in the previous month.

Benchmark Indices Overview

In the benchmark indices overview, mid-caps were able to gain 1.1% this week, reflecting a flattish move across the board. The Nifty Next 50 gained 0.7%, the Nifty 500 rose 0.5%, the Nifty itself moved up 0.32%, and small-caps ticked up only 0.31%, showing no significant move either way across any of these indices.

Sectoral Overview

Within the sectors, besides the IT sector which moved up 4.3% and real estate which gained 2.4%, almost all other sectors remained within a plus or minus 1% range. Media and CPSEs stood out as exceptions, posting losses of 4.2% and 2.2% respectively. Checking the last one-month moves, Pharma has performed the best with a 9.5% gain, while PSU banks, IT, and tourism have lost ground. Net-net, there have been no major sectors moving up in the last month except pharma.

The sectoral momentum score table shows that capital markets surprisingly remain at the very top, followed by defense and metals, though metals have been losing some ground in the last week. Banks, IT, tourism, and media are resigned to the last four positions. Concurrently, oil and gas is coming up, real estate stocks are rising, and private banking is doing better, performing really well in the last week despite being in a slump for almost a year.

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Rebalance Update

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    The Good Bad and Ugly weekly review : 22 May 2026