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With almost the entire month concluded and just one trading session remaining, market sentiment was heavily influenced by Fed Chair Walsh’s hawkish stance at the Jackson Hole Summit on Friday night. The Federal Reserve emphasized that the 2% inflation target remains non-negotiable, offering no indication of impending interest rate cuts and signaling that rates will stay high.

This speech triggered a hardening of bond yields, accompanied by a drop in both precious metals and equities. Consequently, the upcoming Monday trading session is expected to face renewed downward pressure.

Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective

The Nifty is currently sitting at a delicate trendline support level. While Monday could potentially open on a negative note, there remains a strong possibility that this represents a temporary knee-jerk reaction followed by a quick market recovery.

An examination of the weekly chart reveals that the last four weeks have been extremely dull, making the overall performance for the month of August very quiet. Broadly speaking, the market has traded sideways without making significant progress since April. On a positive note, no market crash has occurred; however, the index sits right at a critical trendline support. A breakdown below this line could prove disastrous in the short term, keeping market participants on the edge of their seats. For the week, the Nifty posted a modest decline of 0.31%.

S&P 500 Overview

In contrast, the US market showed resilience, with the S&P 500 rising by 0.5% toward the top end of its range, indicating that the US market continues to perform reasonably well.

GOLD Overview

Gold had been performing well until Friday at 11 p.m., when the Fed Chair’s comments sparked a sudden panic, causing gold prices to collapse by 3.5%. Gold may require another four to six weeks to recover from this drop, and a sustained resurgence will likely depend on crossing the $4700 mark on the dollar scale. Until then, gold is expected to sulk around without immediate upward momentum.

Crude Oil, USD/INR & India Vix Overview

Currency markets remained stable, with the USD/INR holding at 95.3%, while the Dollar Index strengthened following the speech and the VIX cooled off over the week. Brent crude oil fell by roughly 6% this week following a major agreement between the US and Venezuela to acquire strategic oil reserves. This move addresses alarmingly low US strategic petroleum reserve levels with massive additions, effectively calming crude oil markets.

Global Indices Overview

When evaluated in dollar terms across global markets, only Brazil, Australia, Germany, and the Nasdaq managed to post positive gains over the week. Most other global indices ended in negative territory, including France, China, South Korea, broader Europe, the FTSE, and the Russell 2000. In dollar terms, the Nifty was completely flat at 0%, while the Nifty 500 managed a minor 0.3% move, reflecting a market that is going nowhere.

Global Momentum

Evaluating momentum scores across one-week, one-month, three-month, six-month, and one-year timeframes shows the Nasdaq, Europe, and Japan holding top rankings. Conversely, China, India, and France sit unfortunately at the bottom. Benchmark indices globally are moving within a narrow band of under half a percent, showing a total absence of a clear trend right now.

Benchmark Indices Overview

Over a one-year horizon, mid-caps, the Nifty Next 50, and small-caps have generated low double-digit returns, while the Nifty 500 managed a 4% gain. However, the Nifty 50 remains down 1% over the last year, which is far from ideal.

Sectoral Overview

Sectoral performance over the past week was relatively muted. Small gains of 1.5% to 2% were recorded in Pharma, Metals, IT, and Capital Markets. On the losing side, sectors like Tourism, Central PSEs, FMCG, Infrastructure, Oil & Gas, and PSEs saw minor declines without any major structural moves. However, looking over a full year paints a very different picture. Metals outperformed dramatically with a 47% gain, while Defense and Capital Markets surged nearly 32% each.

Pharma and PSU Banks also delivered impressive gains of 23.8% and 26.9%, respectively. Including these outperforming sectors over the last year provided a significant boost to portfolio returns compared to lagging sectors like IT and FMCG, which dropped 12% and 16%. Maintaining exposure to stronger sectors consistently helps improve overall portfolio performance every year.

Across multi-timeframe momentum rankings, Pharma, Metals, Capital Markets, and Defense occupy top spots, with Autos ranking fifth. However, Defense and Autos are beginning to lose ground in the very short term. Metals display strong consistency over one-week and one-month periods, while Pharma demonstrates solid consistency across all timeframes. FMCG and Central PSEs have consistently lost ground across short, medium, and long terms. On the flip side, IT appears to be recovering from past long-term weakness, showing early signs of a short-term turnaround alongside Private Banks and Financial Services.

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Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
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📈 Growth — Nifty 50
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🛡️ Stability — Gold
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⚙️ The Engine Behind It
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• When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
  
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Who is this for?
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Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh

Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD

Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:

25% Large Caps – for stability

25% Mid Caps – for growth

25% Small Caps – for alpha

25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge

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Why Mi AllCap GOLD?

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Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational

Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.

Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.

Rebalance Update