The Good Bad and Ugly weekly review : 31 July 2026

August 1, 2026 7 min read

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The Weekend Investing Stock Market review for the week ending July 31 addresses a month defined by considerable market volatility. While Indian domestic markets remained relatively quiet, global equity markets navigated a turbulent period characterized by artificial intelligence stocks reaching peak valuations, experiencing a sharp sell-off, and subsequently attempting a recovery. Concurrently, broader global macroeconomic conditions and geopolitical tensions remain uncertain, signaling a potentially uneven trajectory ahead despite the constant potential for market surprises.

Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective

An analysis of the weekly charts reveals that the domestic market gained 2.5% over the past week. However, viewing the trend across a four-week horizon shows the market remaining virtually flat at the 24,300 level, which mirrors where it stood four weeks prior as well as twelve weeks prior at 24,380.

Following a sharp correction around March, the market staged a recovery and established a slightly higher bottom. A decisive breakout above current overhead resistance could clear the path for a move toward the 25,000 level in the near term, offering a constructive technical outlook for the coming month.

From an alternative perspective, the chart structure could be interpreted as a developing flag pattern. Under this scenario, a breakdown below the lower trendline could trigger further downside, with an immediate technical support level near 22,000. This outcome is considered a low-probability event because excess leverage and speculative capital have largely exited the market, leaving patient long-term capital intact. Despite global turbulence, the domestic market structure has exhibited noteworthy stability.

S&P 500 Overview

International equity markets showed signs of stabilization over the latest trading sessions. The S&P 500 rose 1% for the week, leaving a prominent lower shadow on the weekly candlestick chart that indicates a rebound in recent trading days and a stable overall technical picture for United States equities.

GOLD Overview

Gold prices fell 1.5% during the week, extending a sideways consolidation pattern that has persisted for six weeks. Following the broader decline initiated in March, gold has touched multiple support levels and flattened out; given its proximity to weekly and monthly oversold territory, a relief rally remains a distinct technical possibility to alleviate current oversold pressure.

Crude Oil, USD/INR & India Vix Overview

Key macroeconomic indicators displayed notable moves across currency and commodity markets. The USD/INR currency pair fell 1.2% as the Indian Rupee strengthened to 95.38. Brent crude oil declined from $98 to $91 per barrel over the week. The Volatility Index dropped by 16%, signaling cooler sentiment and calmer trading conditions. Furthermore, the US Dollar Index declined from 101.4 to 99.8; maintaining a position below the 100 mark along a downward trajectory generally creates favorable tailwinds for Indian equities and precious metals.

Global Indices Overview

On a global comparison scale, India ranked as the top-performing equity market worldwide in dollar terms for the week, followed closely by Germany, Japan, China, and Australia. The weakest regional performers for the week included Canada, the Russell 2000 index, and South Korea.

South Korea experienced sharp pullbacks, registering a 14.6% decline over the past month. Across a three-month timeframe, Brazil stands as the worst-performing global market, whereas over a full one-year period, South Korea retains the top global spot while India sits at the bottom of the table.

Global Momentum

According to global momentum scoring models, Japan currently leads the global asset allocation tables alongside the United Kingdom and Europe. South Korea, Brazil, Germany, France, and the United States occupy middle-to-lower positions. Although India held the top spot on a single-week return basis, its cumulative average momentum score remains near the bottom of global comparisons.

Benchmark Indices Overview

Among domestic benchmark indices, the Nifty and Nifty Next 50 advanced by approximately 2.5%, while mid-cap and small-cap indices recorded slightly smaller gains.

Sectoral Overview

Sector performance was led by Indian Information Technology stocks, which received a significant boost. Indian IT operates primarily within software services, an area that often faces sentiment headwinds during intense artificial intelligence rallies due to concerns regarding service replacement.

Conversely, when global AI stocks undergo a correction, capital rotates back into traditional software services. This rotation drove the strong performance in IT stocks following the recent volatility in global AI equities.

The Automobile sector performed strongly with a 5.6% gain, while the Media sector surged 6%. Sectoral declines were minimal across the board, though Central Public Sector Enterprises fell nearly 2%.

Overall sectoral momentum rankings show Pharmaceuticals holding the top position, with Automobile, Media, and Real Estate also presenting bullish chart configurations. Conversely, Energy PSEs, Fast-Moving Consumer Goods, Central PSEs, and Oil and Gas continue to lag at the bottom of the momentum rankings.

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Rebalance Update

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    The Good Bad and Ugly weekly review : 31 July 2026