The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.
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Nifty on the Daily Chart
The market logged a mildly negative week, with the Nifty 50 slipping by roughly a quarter percent. The encouraging bit was beneath the headline index: breadth improved. Nifty Next 50, Midcap, and Smallcap gauges all managed gains of half a percent or more, suggesting participation broadened beyond the usual mega-caps. That’s healthier market anatomy than what we’ve seen in the U.S., where a handful of giants have been steering index-level returns even as broader breadth has lagged. Several cross-currents shaped sentiment: steady chatter that Indo–US trade negotiations are progressing, a fresh Fed cut paired with guidance of no further cuts in 2025, a firmer dollar, buzz around Bank Nifty’s reweighting cap and potential additions, and noisy rumors about changing the F&O expiry cadence. Add mixed earnings and the still-watchful stance on FII flows and you have a market that’s constructive under the hood but cautious at the surface.
On balance, the Indo–US deal talk is a near-term tailwind if it turns into anything concrete. The caveat is durability—global trade truces have a habit of being short, jagged, and conditional. Staying nimble and aligned with relative strength remains the right operating principle. The Fed’s latest move adds another wrinkle: a cut now, but no more through 2025, effectively guides to a shallow easing path. Pair that with a strengthening dollar and the message to risk assets is “supportive, not exuberant.” Meanwhile, the Bank Nifty reweighting headline—20% cap per stock, top three capped at 45%, plus likely inclusions—could trigger passive flows, trimming some heavyweights and seeding others, and that rotation noise will show up in index funds and ETF adjustments. The expiry-rumor burst and subsequent clarification whipsawed capital-market stocks midweek. Through it all, DIIs have remained constructive while FIIs, after a sharp one-day buy of ~₹10k crore late last month, have mostly flattened their 30-day trend. If FII flows flip even modestly positive alongside DII support, the index is close enough to its highs that momentum could reassert quickly.
On the daily Nifty chart, the index eased 0.28%, but the key development is tactical: the old ceiling near 25,700 has been retested as a floor. Friday’s 0.6% dip keeps the level in play, yet price holds above the 20-DMA and 100-DMA, with the shorter average convincingly above the longer—clean, bullish alignment. If the macro cues cooperate—trade headlines leaning positive, steadier earnings, less index-rule noise—the setup favors another push higher in the short term.
Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective
The weekly picture still carries a textbook cup-and-handle breakout vibe. Two weeks ago delivered the break; since then we’ve seen a pause that could morph into a classic retest. That’s not a bug—it’s how durable breakouts often behave. If support holds on the retest, the next leg can travel far and faster than most expect.
S&P 500 Overview
U.S. equities cooled a touch, with the S&P 500 down ~0.71% for the week, even as the monthly trend remains strong. The question from here is how a slower-than-hoped Fed cutting path reshapes global liquidity. Does the U.S. advance pause to digest gains, or does leadership broaden within the U.S. while EMs wait for a softer dollar? That answer will set the tone into year-end.
GOLD Overview
Gold printed its second down week, slipping 1.65%—completely normal after a nine-week vertical run. Softer U.S.–China tensions and trade-truce vibes remove some of gold’s urgency at the margin, but the big picture remains about monetary debasement, reserve diversification, and structural central-bank buying. Brazil’s first purchase in four years underscores the theme: official demand hasn’t gone away. After a strong up-move, a sideways-to-lower consolidation is not just expected, it’s healthy. The spotlight returns the moment trust wobbles or the dollar softens.
Dollar Index Overview
Speaking of which, the Dollar Index climbed to 99.7, up ~0.79% on the week. A firm dollar is a headwind for EM risk. A decisive push above 100 could extend the squeeze; a failure under the century mark would hand back a tailwind to EM equities, India included.
Global Indices Overview
Our dollar-adjusted Global Indices Overview again highlighted Japan’s resurgence. On a weekly basis, the Nikkei led with ~5.4% in USD terms, Brazil followed near 2.5%, and the Nasdaq gained ~2.2%. Laggards included Nifty (-1.4% USD), Russell 2000 (-1.4%), Germany (-1.3%), CAC 40 (-1.4%), and Australia (-1.2%). Zooming out one month, Japan sits on a remarkable +13.1% in USD, with Nifty ~+3.6% and Nifty 500 ~+3.5%. Over a year, India remains at the bottom of this table (Nifty ~+0.6%, Nifty 500 ~-1.0% in USD), while Japan tops at ~36%, then Germany and the U.S. Over five years, India holds its own: Nifty broadly “on par,” and Nifty 500 sits second only to Nasdaq, reflecting India’s structural trend despite the last year’s relative underperformance.
Global Momentum
Momentum ranks across global markets keep Japan/Nikkei at the apex across most time frames, with Nasdaq a close, consistent number two. Brazil has punched back into the top three on recent strength. The S&P 500 and Dow sit mid-pack. India hovers near the bottom in weekly ranks after a strong prior stretch, with Nifty 500 tracking similarly. Europe (Euro Stoxx) is stabilizing after a brief momentum dip, while China has slipped down the stack after a decent multi-month run.
Benchmark Indices Overview
Back home, the Benchmark Indices Overview shows the same breadth story: Midcaps +0.71%, Nifty Next 50 +0.68%, Smallcaps +0.50%, while Nifty 50 dipped modestly. Over one month, Midcaps lead at ~+4.8%, Nifty ~+4.5%, Nifty 500 ~+4.1%, and the broader small cap- and Nifty Jnr cohorts in the ~3–3.5% band. Leadership is rotating but participation is healthy.
Sectoral Overview
Sectorally, PSU Banks shone at +4.7%, with Oil & Gas +3.2%, Metals +2.6%, and supportive prints from Infrastructure, Energy, and Commodities. Capital Markets took a breather at -1.9% amid expiry-rule noise. On a three-month view, PSU Banks still dominate; over one year, Capital Markets and Defense are the standouts, even as Defense has seen sharp near-term profit-taking. The three-year lens keeps Defense ruthless at ~+54.8% CAGR, followed by Capital Markets ~+50.5%—a reminder of how powerful full-cycle sector trends can be even when short-term corrections bite.
On Sectoral Momentum, PSU Banks sit atop most horizons (weekly, quarterly, semiannual), with podium spots in monthly and yearly as well. Metals, Oil & Gas, and Infrastructure populate the leadership box. Capital Markets slipped after last week’s wobble, dropping to the lower half on weekly ranks despite strong longer-term placement. At the bottom, FMCG, Media, and Pharma lag; Tourism had a burst earlier but slid back in the weekly frame. What’s perking up: Energy and PSEs on the weekly look. What’s cooling: Defense, despite its stellar multi-year compounding, now down the ranks on 1–3 month windows.
IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT
We are now live on our official WhatsApp Channel. We have been sharing all our strategy updates, rebalances, and important announcements here. Please watch this video to know more & join in at the earliest possible.
Why this change?
Because it’s simpler, faster, and right where you already are — WhatsApp makes staying updated effortless.
Stay updated with:
• Strategy updates & rebalances
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Here’s an instruction manual if you are not aware of Whatsapp Channels
Introducing All Seasons
Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
Even index investors — owning India’s top 50 companies through the Nifty 50 — struggle to stay the course. Drawdowns hurt, flat markets drain conviction, and emotions often break compounding faster than crashes do.
That’s exactly why we built All Seasons — a simple, rule-based strategy that helps you stay invested through every phase of the market by dynamically balancing between Nifty 50 (for growth) and Gold (for stability).
📈 Growth — Nifty 50
Own India’s strongest 50 companies — the backbone of our economy. Participate in the nation’s long-term growth story without picking stocks or timing entries.
🛡️ Stability — Gold
Crises strike without warning. Gold rises when equities stumble — acting as your portfolio’s natural hedge and emotional anchor.
⚙️ The Engine Behind It
All Seasons shifts allocations every fortnight based on market conditions:
- When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
- When they’re beaten down, the system increases weight.
- Gold moves in the opposite direction — balancing every phase.
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Who is this for?
✅ Index investors who want smoother participation
✅ New investors who prefer ETFs over stock-picking
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✅ Seasoned investors looking to add stability to their core
✅ Anyone who wants to stay in control without daily decisions
Price: ₹4,999 per year
Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh
Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD
Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:
25% Large Caps – for stability
25% Mid Caps – for growth
25% Small Caps – for alpha
25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge
Mi AllCap GOLD follows a rules-based, momentum-driven approach to select the strongest stocks in each segment. The portfolio is rebalanced monthly to ensure it stays aligned with market leadership — with no human discretion involved.
Why Mi AllCap GOLD?
All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational
Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.
Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.
Rebalance Update
We give advance notice here on the upcoming changes in your smallcase for Monday. This advance notice can be used to ignore Monday’s update if there is no change. If there is a change indicated you
Note: We are not including LIQUIDBEES as an ADD or an EXIT count.
