The WeekendInvesting Newsletter is a daily newsletter that summarizes all the stories we cover during the day(market nuggets), including the daily byte that we shoot every evening. This newsletter will be delivered to your email every evening on market days, providing you with a wealth of market-related information. The newsletter includes both summaries and long-form blogs for all the market nuggets covered. These blogs are also link.
Check out our past newsletters.
Global markets danced to the tunes of the United States President, who announced that the major deal is no more, causing crude oil prices to suddenly spike up and equity markets to crack very hard. In Asia, equity markets were already falling sharply on the back of a correction in semiconductor and artificial intelligence stocks, and this sudden geopolitical development certainly did not help.
However, the next couple of days softened the stand, and it now seems that deal-making is back on track. Markets are gradually understanding that the United States cannot afford higher interest rates or higher inflation itself, meaning they cannot easily enter a situation where oil spikes too aggressively. The strategy appears to be maintaining oil above a certain level so that their domestic shale oil remains viable, which will likely require ongoing localized conflicts to sustain.
Other global markets that are not directly impacted are probably going to accept this dynamic as normal going forward. This is precisely what the broader market seems to be indicating, especially with various stocks gaining ground this week.
Nifty – Weekly Chart Perspective
Looking at the weekly numbers, the Nifty was net-net flat, closing down by minus 0.26 percent.
S&P 500 Overview
Conversely, the S&P 500 closed very near its all-time highs, gaining 1.23 percent. To contextualize the recent correction in the S&P 500, one must look at the massive rally it experienced from nearly 6,300 to almost 7,600 within a couple of months, even while a war was ongoing. This makes the recent dip a very mild correction, indicating that the index is on track for a continuation of its strong upward trajectory, which could lead to a very strong US rally from here on out.
GOLD Overview
Meanwhile, gold remains stable. While it is too early to declare that it has officially bottomed out, it appears that the bears are taking a rest, and the precious metal is holding a support point around the 144,96 or 145,00 mark where it is currently settling down.
Crude Oil, USD/INR & India Vix Overview
In macro terms, the USDINR exchange rate was flat around 95, while Brent oil spiked to almost 80 before closing at 76. The volatility index or Vix remained flattish, and the dollar index ticked up again to 101. A dollar index at 101 is not ideal and needs to cool off, especially compared to the previous week when it sat at a much more decent place of 99.5.
Global Indices Overview
When comparing global indices in dollar terms across the world on a weekly basis, Germany saw the highest gains this week at 5.2 percent. Mild gains were also observed in the FTSE 100, Euro stocks, and the Hang Seng, though no major big moves occurred outside of Germany and Euro stocks.
Both the Nifty and Nifty 500 remained completely flat, while the NASDAQ gained slightly at plus 2.1 percent. South Korea continues its downward trend. In the last one month, the South Korean market and the Hang Seng fell by 7.6 percent and 6.3 percent respectively, whereas India gained 4.3 percent. This highlights a clear divergence and relative shift in movement between other Asian economies and India over the past month. Japan has also been performing well, up plus 2.5 percent for the month.
However, the one-year story looks very different, with the Nifty sitting at minus 14.5 percent in dollar terms while Japan is up an outstanding 57 percent, a performance unmatched by any other market over the past year. In three-year terms, the Nifty is flat at 2.4 percent, while many other global markets are enjoying high double-digits. Over a five-year horizon, the Indian market sits at a very low return of 3.8 percent compared to the S&P 500 at 11.5 percent, NASDAQ at 12 percent, Germany at 10 percent, Nikkei at 11 percent, and South Korea at 12.9 percent.
In fact, over the last five years, India is only beating Hang Seng China. To understand that contrast, Chinese investors have faced zero returns from real estate over the last 15 to 20 years, zero returns from the equity market since 2008, and virtually no yields, leaving gold as their only growing asset. From that broader perspective, Indian investors have been reasonably well off compared to global indices over the last 15 to 20 years.
Global Momentum
In global momentum rankings, the Nikkei sits at the top but lost some ground this week, followed by Brazil, NASDAQ, and the S&P 500 to form the top four ranks. South Korea, which previously held the number one spot, dropped heavily over the last week and month to occupy the lowest rank on the composite position. At the very bottom of the table sit France and China.
Meanwhile, the Nifty has moved up to the minus 4 position, and the Nifty 500 is performing even better right in the middle of the pack, raising reasonable hope that both will climb higher over the next few weeks.
Benchmark Indices Overview
Domestically, the one-week returns for mid-caps stood at 1.23 percent and small-caps at 0.68 percent, meaning they managed to stay out of the red despite heavy pressure from overseas narratives, while other cap segments were completely flat.
Sectoral Overview
Within the sectoral overview, only the real estate sector truly stood out. IT stocks bounced by 2 percent, but other than that, few sectors are worth mentioning for the week. Looking at the last month, real estate is up 17.5 percent and pharma is up 14.4 percent, making them the only two notable winning sectors.
In contrast, IT has fallen 11 percent over the month, and central public sector enterprise stocks are down about 10 percent.
The sectoral momentum scorecard places capital markets, metal, pharma, and real estate as the top four names. Defense dropped suddenly, energy continues to slide, and the bottom slots are occupied by FMCG, IT, public sector undertakings, and central public sector enterprises. The public sector business segment, which previously performed exceptionally well, is now lagging at the bottom. Financial services and banks are also sitting in the weaker second half of the scorecard rather than the top, indicating where short-term opportunities might lie if one chooses to look for short-term moves.
Introducing All Seasons
Markets reward patience — but rarely make it easy.
Even index investors — owning India’s top 50 companies through the Nifty 50 — struggle to stay the course. Drawdowns hurt, flat markets drain conviction, and emotions often break compounding faster than crashes do.
That’s exactly why we built All Seasons — a simple, rule-based strategy that helps you stay invested through every phase of the market by dynamically balancing between Nifty 50 (for growth) and Gold (for stability).
📈 Growth — Nifty 50
Own India’s strongest 50 companies — the backbone of our economy. Participate in the nation’s long-term growth story without picking stocks or timing entries.
🛡️ Stability — Gold
Crises strike without warning. Gold rises when equities stumble — acting as your portfolio’s natural hedge and emotional anchor.
⚙️ The Engine Behind It
All Seasons shifts allocations every fortnight based on market conditions:
- When equities run hot, exposure trims automatically.
- When they’re beaten down, the system increases weight.
- Gold moves in the opposite direction — balancing every phase.
No guesswork. No emotion. No fear of missing out — just a calm, intelligent portfolio that adapts to markets for you.
Who is this for?
✅ Index investors who want smoother participation
✅ New investors who prefer ETFs over stock-picking
✅ Professionals who can’t invest in direct equities
✅ Seasoned investors looking to add stability to their core
✅ Anyone who wants to stay in control without daily decisions
Price: ₹4,999 per year
Recommended Capital: ₹2–30 lakh
Introducing Mi Allcap GOLD
Mi Allcap GOLD is designed for investors who want broad equity exposure with a built-in hedge. It combines:
25% Large Caps – for stability
25% Mid Caps – for growth
25% Small Caps – for alpha
25% Gold ETFs – as a permanent hedge
Mi AllCap GOLD follows a rules-based, momentum-driven approach to select the strongest stocks in each segment. The portfolio is rebalanced monthly to ensure it stays aligned with market leadership — with no human discretion involved.
Why Mi AllCap GOLD?
All-in-one exposure to all equity tiers + gold
Rebalance Frequency : Monthly
Momentum Style : Rotational
Whether you’re just starting your wealth journey or looking to anchor your core portfolio, Mi AllCap GOLD offers a powerful blend of momentum, diversification, and downside protection.
Don’t just diversify — balance wisely.
Rebalance Update
